24 JulThe Handbook of Commodity Investing–Book Review

The Handbook of Commodity Investing is a book which focuses on the fundamentals of the commodity markets and the logic of investing in commodities with a long-term investment horizon.


Long-Term Commodity Investing

The author discusses about the different life cycles of investment and how an investor can earn sustained periods of above average returns, which are followed by prolonged periods of depressed prices. Individuals can also realize the benefits of including commodities in your portfolio to increase your long-term gains.

How to Invest In Commodities

The author presents many different investment vehicles you can use to invest in commodities – pros and cons. They include futures, futures options, commodity ETFs, commodity trading advisors (CTAs) and hedge funds.

The other key aspects presented in this book are the following

· Differences between fundamental and technical analysis

· Timing with which one should enter the market in order to get above average returns

· Entry and exit checklists are presented via case studies

Technical Indicators

The reader can clearly understand about the mechanics of trading by following the indicators

  • Stochastics work well for determining whether a market is overbought or oversold.
  • MACD sometimes overlaps stochastics and it helps to determine the strength and direction of a trend.
  • The moving averages and Bollinger Bands help determine direction of trend and good buying or selling areas.

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Trading Formations and Patterns

The author focuses on the trend analysis and introduces to the reader about some the vital forecasting concepts like analyzing seasonality, cycles which would help the trader in making decisions when he predicts a particular pattern.

Putting the Trading Plan Together

Since it introduces to the reader about the various indicators and forecasting tools, a lot would depend on the trader how he uses these tools to make a profitable decision. Case studies would definitely help the reader about how things can be put together given an economic scenario.

02 JulMechanical Trading Systems by Richard L.Weissman (Book Review)

Richard Weissman introduces the reader with a process-driven approach to trading. In addition to the development of mechanical trading systems, the significance of trader psychology is discussed throughout the book. Mr. Weissman calls it the framework of “reprogramming the trader.” He provides a clear understanding behind the conceptual development of mechanical trading systems as well as demonstrates possible mistakes by system developers and ways to avoid them. His main lesson for the reader is that flexibility enables traders to succeed in all kinds of trading environments.

Dispelling Myths and Defining terms

In this chapter the author emphasizes more on mathematical technical analysis than classical technical analysis. He also explains why mathematical way of analyzing is an ideal component for mechanical trading systems than fundamental or interpretive analysis and thus claims this as an apt method for generating profits

Mathematical Technical Analysis

Introduces the two basic flavors of mathematical technical indicators which are mean aversion and moving averages. The chapter also explains how these indicators can be transformed into comprehensive trading systems through the inclusion of various risk quantification parameters such as volatility bands and percentage value of trading instrument.

Trend Following Systems

By going through this chapter one can figure out how even a simplistic of the systems can produce a respectable rate of return while enduring relatively moderate worst peak-to -valley drawdowns in equity. The reader can also understand why certain asset classes tend to trend more than others

Mean Aversion Systems

Examines why certain asset classes display a greater propensity toward mean aversion than others and includes examples of no directionally biased mean aversion systems and mean aversion systems that employ a trend following filter.

Short term Systems

One can understand what short term volatity really means by going through the concepts of swing and day trading. It helps the reader to explore what unique personality traits are needed to overcome the same.

Knowing Oneself

Provides the reader a comprehensive review of major categories of trader types (trend following, mean aversion) as well as the typical time frames (long term, day trading, swing) in which they operate. Helps the reader to identify the flaws in trader psychology. Once the reader has identified their innate trading personality, a step by step transformational process via utilization of different types of mechanical trading system and psychological tools is outlined

System Development and Analysis

This chapter examines some of the benefits and limitations of mechanical trading system, optimization studies, development of trading system philosophy statements and the pros and cons of various methodologies for measuring trading system performance. It also looks at the downside to system development and how to resolve these problems: data curve fitting, parameter curve fitting, data integrity issues and slippage.

Price Risk Management

Discusses the various price risk management methods such as stop loss and volumetric price risk management .Coverage of volumetric price risk includes both Martingale and anti-Martingale position sizing techniques such as frictional position sizing and value at risk. Other techniques covered include the study of worst-back tested peak-to-valley equity draw downs, static volumetric tests, stress testing and system losses as a percentage of total equity under management. Finally the chapter examines the psychological aspects of price risk management and shows how utilization of mechanical trading systems can aid in fostering confidence during drawdowns.

Improving Rate of Return

In this chapter the author discusses how can one improve the overall rate of return by using these three methods

· Addition of various low or negatively correlated assets such as foreign exchange, crude oil and futures

· The staggering of parameter set trigger levels for the same system

· Combination of mean aversion and trend following systems within a single trading account

Discretion and System Trading

This chapter examines how a trader’s knowledge and experience can be utilized within the framework of mechanical trading system

Psychology of Mechanical Trading

Here the author relates the link between mechanical trading systems and transformational psychology, explaining in detail issues such as self worth, single-mindedness, discipline ,nonattachment to result’s of one’s actions and realizing of old emotional patterns.

26 JunFundamentals Of Hedge fund Investing By William J.Crerend

cube-finance1The “Fundamentals of Hedge Fund Investing” by William J.Crerend is a good start-up package for individuals who want to know about the Hedge fund industry. It introduces to the reader about the compliance norms, overview various strategies, their characteristics and how one can monitor and evaluate their performance with respect to peers.

What Are Hedge Funds Why Invest In them

Here the author discusses why individual or corporations invest in hedge funds. He also explains about how the hedge funds works, its types and how to adopt different strategies to beat the market consistently.

The key points focussed are the following

·         Timing with which you go for a strategies makes the difference

·         Beating the market requires active churning of your portfolio

Quantitative and Qualitative Characteristics of Specific Hedge Fund Strategies

In the quantitative part the author depicts the characteristics of various hedge fund strategies (relative value, event driven, equity hedge, short selling, and global asset allocators) using the correlation and drawdowns  against the U.S stocks.

In the qualitative part he explains the following:

·         Historical risk return characteristics of the hedge fund strategies

·         How one should view the parameters like shorting, leverage, liquidity, partnership and monitoring which can make a lot of difference when one is picking a fund

Who Manages and Who Invests in Them

Here the author clearly emphasis on some of the vital characteristics which a fund manager should possess. He also tabulates the percentagewise source of assets classifications among the participants(High networth Individuals, FOF, Pension Funds, Endowment Foundations, Brokers, Insurers, Investment banks ,Brokers and others including corporates) 

The key here is to understand the following

·         How to assess the risk return profile

·         How asset allocation varies among the participants

How to invest in hedge funds

The author explains about the components like fee structure, legal structure, business considerations, partnership agreement, and tax and capacity constraints by providing an example of operational mid-size hedge funds.

The reader can understand the three H’s of Hedge Funds

·         How much is the minimum investment

·         How much he should be paying as management fee

·         How much he would be taxed on his investment

Evaluating Hedge Funds

The author explains about the performance and the descriptive information issues which would be useful for a reader to evaluate a specific strategies, thereby enabling to come up with an effective decision.

This chapter helps the reader to

·         Understand the relation between correlation coefficent and quartile rankings of the managers

·         Understand concepts like hedge ratio, downside risk leverage, shorting and drawdowns which would be influential in evaluating strategies

Monitoring Hedge Funds

In this Chapter the author introduces the reader some of the prerequisites which are vital in monitoring the hedge funds and assess one’s exposure. This would definitely be an eye opener for the readers as it discusses how one can compare the performance of hedge funds with their peers and how can one go about the re-evaluation strategies.  

Hedge Fund Benchmarks

It’s all about indexation their use and limitations. The author compares the performance of the various hedge fund strategies (relative value, event driven, equity hedge, short selling, and global asset allocators) against the EACM 100 INDEX and explains the quantitative characteristics (risk/return, standard deviation, correlations) of the same over the period of years.

Future of Institutional Investment in Hedge Funds

Empirical results are presented about the composition of investments which the hedge funds would have and it has also depicted about the demand for the alternative investments (Venture capital, Hedge funds, and Buyout funds) by the corporates, public, endowment and pension funds.

 

25 Jun“Core-Satellite Portfolio Management “by J.Clay Singleton (Book Review)

This book “Core-Satellite Portfolio Management “by J.Clay Singleton discusses about the asset allocation. One can understand that there two phases in portfolio management that is the core (passively managed) and the satellite (actively managed) portions. In addition to that the components of core-satellite ring are introduced to the reader and how can one coordinate these components to balance one’s portfolio. He makes the reader understand how important is to rebalance a portfolio and allocate risks accordingly so that they are not missing the bus.

A Core Satellite Approach to Portfolio Management

In this chapter the author drives home the vital concept of portfolio management i.e. asset allocation, by explaining how the components in the core as well as in satellite should complement each other in order to generate magic Greek letter –Alpha.

Quantitative Finance

The author throws some light on some of the basic quantitative concepts which would help the reader to understand the concept of correlation and also how diversification would be phenomenal in reducing the portfolio’s risk. Moreover the concepts like efficient frontier are reviewed and explains those underlying assumptions are not perfect reflections of reality. Finally the author stresses on the importance of risk measures and risk monitoring.

Core Equity

In this chapter James A.Pupillo explains the following:

  • How to construct the core portion of a core-satellite portfolio for equity holdings
  • What factors which one should consider in choosing indices
  • Summarizes the key features of popular equity indices from which benchmarks can be customized on weighted basis
  • How risk budget is used as a tool for allocating risk between core and satellite positions 

Core Fixed –Income Management

In this chapter Kenneth E.Volpert explains the following:

  • How one can pick higher quality liquid sectors in the core at low costs
  • Explains the different kinds of fixed income risks and suggests tracking error associated with each in various strategies

Satellite Bonds- High Yield and Distressed Debt

By going through this chapter the reader will be exposed to market history and historical correlations of all kind of debt instruments like high yield debt, junk bonds, private placements, collateralized debt obligations (CDO’s) and distressed securities. In addition to that Clifford A. Sheets explains the reader what special skills are required for one to manage these assets and the fee structure expected to manage the same.

Management of currency fluctuations associated with International Investments

The author (Ranga Nathan) deals which the currency fluctuation exposures, how can one handle and manage the same by using currency overlay management techniques. It also focuses on the kind of arithmetic which one should understand about how foreign currency exposure arises and how it’s influenced by economic factors.

Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities

The author (Peng Chen) justifies to the reader why TIPS should be included in satellite portfolio compared to other financial asset classes. It helps us to understand how it works, their return patterns, relationships with those of other asset classes and reviews their history. It also explains how the difference between nominal bond yields and TIPS yields provides a good indicator of market’s aggregate forecast for future return.

Hard Assets

The authors (Pen Cheng, Jeffrey M.Antonacci and Joseph P.Pinsky) focus on hard assets and soft assets which are typically not traded in the exchanges and frequently have a lower liquidity. Moreover direct energy asset classes (oil and gas) are discussed thereby one can understand how this would be beneficial to enhance the risk/return profile.

Finding value in Small Stocks

In this chapter Gary G. Schlarbaum and Bradley S. Daniels give the reader insights about the tools and valuation methodologies required to manage the small capitalization stocks in satellite portfolio.

Risk Measurements of Investment in the satellite Ring of a Core-Satellite Portfolio

In this chapter Hilary Till discusses the following

  • Helps the reader to understand the risk return trade-offs that may be present in the satellite ring
  • Why sharp ratio has become the main performance evaluation metric for investments and it’s shortcomings
  • Several alternative metrics needed for performance evaluation and also helps one to understand the source of returns for satellite investment strategy rather than relying on the performance numbers

Identifying and Adopting Best Practices for Institutional Investors

Here Samuel W.Halpern and Andrew Irving explain some of the best practices like legal, professional, regulatory, operational overview which is followed in the industry and one has abide to all these regulations to be best in the business.